Research

United States employment update - January 2019

With 304,000 net new jobs added in January, the labor market started off the year in exceedingly strong fashion. Some of this growth was attributable to a 20-basis-point rise in the labor force participation rate to 63.2%, while the labor force has grown by 1.3% over the past year compared to a slower rate in 2017 and 2018. As a result, unemployment edged upwards to 4.0%, just as total unemployment also increased to 8.1%. Given that job creation is still occurring faster than the labor force is expanding, however, we expect greater volatility in monthly gains ahead.

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