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Report | Trump’s monetary policy could impact cap rates

Summary

​While policy in the incoming administration is still uncertain, we can still think critically about the likely course of monetary policy and its implications for commercial real estate.

First, begin with the understanding that tax cuts and government spending generally boost economic growth in the short run, as long as it doesn't require some sort of offset such as a reduction in government spending. Additionally, deregulation could also boost growth a bit because there is a good
chance the current regulatory regime has been holding productivity
growth in check. So the combination of the two would likely spur economic growth.

What is unsure in this scenario is the outlook for inflation—and that's what we explore in this report.

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