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Preliminary volumes up 27 percent over H1 2013
CHICAGO, LONDON, SINGAPORE, July 9, 2014 – Increasing allocations into commercial real estate in the first half of 2014 is driving transaction volumes higher across much of the globe, with direct commercial real estate transactions reaching US$294 billion, up 27 percent over the same period last year. Due to the stronger-than-expected performance in both the Americas and Europe, as well as the steady volumes in Asia Pacific, JLL is revising its earlier full year transaction volume forecast from US$650 billion to US$700 billion.
“Global commercial property investment markets continue to perform well spurred on by improving economic data and occupational fundamentals,” said Arthur de Haast, Lead Director International Capital Group at JLL. “While we are approaching transactional levels last seen in 2006, the nature of this cycle is very different. The return of fully functioning debt markets over the last 12-18 months has certainly played a part in improving investor sentiment, but the real driver of these increases in transactional volumes is more and more equity targeting direct commercial real estate.”
The AmericasThe greatest growth in global transactional volumes is in the Americas, where volumes have surged by 43 percent in the first half of 2014 compared to last year. The United States continues to be the catalyst, but this quarter it was joined by Mexico and Brazil where industrial and retail portfolio transactions have pushed H1 volumes already well above 2013’s full year totals for both countries.
EuropeEuropean volumes are not far behind in terms of growth with transactions in the first half 34 percent higher than last year, while Q2 2014 is 50 percent higher than a year ago. An increase in transactional volumes across the region is supporting growth in the core markets. Southern Europe, the Benelux and Central and Eastern Europe are all more than 50 percent higher than in the first half of 2013. The growth in transactions is broad-based, with the core markets of the United Kingdom, France and Germany also 30 percent higher over the first half of 2013.
Asia PacificIn Asia Pacific, transactional activity has increased following a quiet start to the year. The US$32 billion recorded is in line with Q2 2013 and means H1 volumes are now just 8 percent below those from H1 2013. Japan has been the star performer in recent quarters, but in Q2 investors reduced their rate of buying following a strong start to the year. Australian volumes were boosted by a large one-off REIT privatization while China and South Korean transactions have recovered from a weak Q1.
“New sources of capital from emerging economies have grabbed many of the headlines in the last few years. But what is really pushing transactional markets higher currently is the increasing allocations towards direct real estate from the traditional sources of capital; pension funds, endowment capital, private equity, combining in many instances with the new sources to acquire assets. While short and long term interest rates globally continue to hold at historically low levels, we see direct real estate as continuing to attract capital,” concluded David Green-Morgan, Global Capital Markets Research Director at JLL.
Notes to Editors:
About JLL JLL (NYSE: JLL) is a professional services and investment management firm offering specialized real estate services to clients seeking increased value by owning, occupying and investing in real estate. With annual fee revenue of $4 billion, JLL has more than 200 corporate offices and operates in 75 countries worldwide. On behalf of its clients, the firm provides management and real estate outsourcing services for a property portfolio of 3 billion square feet and completed $99 billion in sales, acquisitions and finance transactions in 2013. Its investment management business, LaSalle Investment Management, has $48.0 billion of real estate assets under management. JLL is the brand name of Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated. For further information, visit www.jll.com.
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